Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.403114 0.471211 0.547626 0.639799 0.748077 0.871371 1.022615
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.305258 0.396477 0.510408 0.663521 0.864509 1.120188 1.471487
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.247158 0.344885 0.476198 0.666273 0.935674 1.305795 1.856312
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.211393 0.312637 0.456993 0.679007 1.014090 1.504544 2.283515
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.178452 0.277315 0.425599 0.665805 1.048473 1.640011 2.634487
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.154502 0.250905 0.402168 0.658842 1.088040 1.784899 3.018132
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.137417 0.232303 0.387445 0.662137 1.142365 1.958158 3.472016
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.128843 0.226193 0.391661 0.696646 1.252787 2.238999 4.153733
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.120962 0.219964 0.394438 0.728340 1.361751 2.531259 4.900735
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.112513 0.211426 0.391733 0.749159 1.452811 2.802282 5.648550
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.103364 0.200285 0.382639 0.756254 1.517872 3.031706 6.348283
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.093669 0.186791 0.367264 0.748678 1.552136 3.203930 6.955155
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.083655 0.171630 0.347207 0.729876 1.562717 3.333454 7.501761
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.079336 0.167551 0.348961 0.756986 1.675202 3.695997 8.631951
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.073272 0.158986 0.340249 0.760141 1.735164 3.951704 9.557553
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068837 0.153338 0.336965 0.774731 1.822873 4.282443 10.718974
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.062574 0.142824 0.321675 0.759604 1.838487 4.446285 11.492235
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.057517 0.134427 0.310105 0.751626 1.870113 4.653145 12.411904
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.053757 0.128603 0.303750 0.755401 1.931488 4.942948 13.603435
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.052518 0.128667 0.311332 0.794945 2.090371 5.506674 15.651153
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.051102 0.128115 0.317334 0.831269 2.246248 6.086458 17.851470
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.049069 0.125755 0.318539 0.855134 2.371944 6.603597 19.963714
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.046391 0.121404 0.314140 0.863267 2.455030 7.014387 21.829919